Archive for July, 2010
Corporate Bonds And Interest Rates

Question: What goes up and what comes down when the fed raises interest rates?
What goes up and what comes down? Gold, Oil, The $, Bonds (all sorts-municipal, corporate, etc.), Stocks (in general) and other things that hold monetary value.
Answer: Gold down/up
Oil down/up
Bonds up
Stocks up or down
^ the above all matter on the term of the economy but lets assume all factors are constant then this would happen
Gold - Down
Oil - Down
Bonds - Up
Stocks - up or down depending on sector
when interest rates are low people fear for inflation so they run to the commodity's
Long Term Bonds? Low Interest Rates...Fixed income
Corporate Bonds Data

Question: Statistics Help!?
What type of statistical test should I use for the following data:
7% of mutual fund investors rate corporate stocks "very safe, 58% rate them "somewhat safe", 24% not very safe, 4% not at all safe, and 7% not sure.
A poll asked 529 mutual fund investors how they would rate Corporate Bonds on safety. Their answers are as follow:
48 very safe, 323 somewhat safe, 79 not very safe, 16 not at all safe, and 63 not sure.
I converted the frequencies of the percentage of corporate stocks by the 529 people interviwed on Corporate Bonds to get my data and now I don't know if I should do a chi sqare test for the difference between two proportions for my hypothesis testing.
The end question in the problem is:
Do mutual fund investors attitudes toward Corporate Bonds differ from their attitudes toward corporate stocks? Support answer with statistical test using alpha = 0.01
Answer: If you have converted the stock frequency data back to the actual numbers then you have the counts for the different categories and a chi-squared test would be appropriate but you need to think about what to do with the "not sures"
"not at all", "not very", "somewhat", "Very".......ordinal data and it is possible to do ranking tests such as Kruskal-Wallis modified for contigency tables
DRIVING MR. & MRS. JONES ON MAIN STREET: Are Paulsons $700B Turncoats to buy Wall Street Toxic Bonds or Dole them to Bernanke to cover the FEDS Trillion lent to the Defunct Oil Speculators Corporate America against same Devilish Stock Insurance Circle.